{"id":102727,"date":"2017-01-24T06:15:59","date_gmt":"2017-01-24T06:15:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/gerdtestpress.online\/?guid=f5a8926289835f522e9444de61869075"},"modified":"2017-01-24T06:15:59","modified_gmt":"2017-01-24T06:15:59","slug":"the-coming-tech-backlash-newco-shift","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/de\/2017\/01\/the-coming-tech-backlash-newco-shift\/","title":{"rendered":"Der kommende Tech-Backlash - NewCo Shift"},"content":{"rendered":"

50% of the jobs will be gone in ~20 years. Not from the great sucking sound of jobs to Mexico that can be stopped with a wall. Not from moving offshore to China. From automation that is moving quickly from blue collar manufacturing to white collar information work. Second only to climate change, this is the greatest disruption of our time, and I don\u2019t mean that word in a good way.\u00a0A recent study found 50% of occupations today will be gone by 2020, and a 2013 Oxford study forecasted that 47% of jobs will be automated by 2034. A Ball State study found that only 13% of manufacturing job losses were due to trade, the rest from automation. A McKinsey study suggests 45% of knowledge work activity can be automated.<\/strong><\/p>\n

94% of the new job creation since 2005 is in the gig economy. These aren\u2019t stable jobs with benefits on a career path. And if you are driving for Uber, your employer\u2019s plan is to automate your job. Amazon has 270k employees, but most are soon-to-be-automated ops and fulfillment. Facebook has 15k employees and a 330B market cap, and Snapchat in August had double their market cap per employee, at $48M per employee. The economic impact of Tech was raising productivity, but productivity and wages have been stagnant in recent years<\/p>\n

The Coming Tech Backlash \u2013 NewCo Shift<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

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\"50% der Arbeitspl\u00e4tze werden in ~20 Jahren weg sein. Nicht durch die gro\u00dfe Abwanderung von Arbeitspl\u00e4tzen nach Mexiko, die mit einer Mauer gestoppt werden kann. Nicht durch die Verlagerung ins Ausland nach China. Sondern durch die Automatisierung, die sich schnell von der Produktion auf die Informationsarbeit f\u00fcr Angestellte verlagert. Nach dem Klimawandel ist dies die gr\u00f6\u00dfte Umw\u00e4lzung unserer Zeit, und ich meine dieses Wort nicht im positiven Sinne.<\/p>\n

Einer aktuellen Studie zufolge werden bis 2020 50% der heutigen Berufe wegfallen, und eine Oxford-Studie aus dem Jahr 2013 prognostiziert, dass bis 2034 47% der Arbeitspl\u00e4tze automatisiert sein werden. Eine Ball-State-Studie ergab, dass nur 13% der Arbeitspl\u00e4tze im verarbeitenden Gewerbe durch den Handel verloren gehen, der Rest durch die Automatisierung. Eine McKinsey-Studie geht davon aus, dass 45% der Wissensarbeit automatisiert werden k\u00f6nnen.<\/p>\n

94% der seit 2005 neu geschaffenen Arbeitspl\u00e4tze entfallen auf die Gig-Economy. Dabei handelt es sich nicht um stabile Arbeitspl\u00e4tze mit Sozialleistungen und einer beruflichen Laufbahn. Und wenn Sie f\u00fcr Uber fahren, ist der Plan Ihres Arbeitgebers, Ihre Arbeit zu automatisieren. Amazon hat 270.000 Besch\u00e4ftigte, aber die meisten davon sind bald automatisierte Abteilungen. Facebook hat 15.000 Mitarbeiter und eine Marktkapitalisierung von 330 Mrd., und Snapchat hatte im August mit $48M pro Mitarbeiter die doppelte Marktkapitalisierung pro Mitarbeiter. Die wirtschaftliche Auswirkung der Technologie war die Steigerung der Produktivit\u00e4t, aber Produktivit\u00e4t und L\u00f6hne haben in den letzten Jahren stagniert.\"<\/p>\n

Der kommende Tech-Backlash - NewCo Shift
https:\/\/shift.newco.co\/the-coming-tech-backlash-82b22e0c1198?_hsenc=p2ANqtz-8CQA_66MQSsgwaTWFurXUt46g_9HJpIyQ07srAaTAmer2Gx7f5N41KRjw3LTFfNOZKQ53T9V9teAvSH8bm7H2IqTmMzQCdrP3fcDEZKErSuoUpbpo<\/a>
\u00fcber Instapaper<\/div>\n

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