{"id":102460,"date":"2017-01-01T11:05:07","date_gmt":"2017-01-01T11:05:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/gerdtestpress.online\/?guid=38bdf12fa16939efedb98256a317787d"},"modified":"2017-01-01T11:05:07","modified_gmt":"2017-01-01T11:05:07","slug":"the-long-term-jobs-killer-automation-great-nyt-read","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/es\/2017\/01\/the-long-term-jobs-killer-automation-great-nyt-read\/","title":{"rendered":"El asesino del empleo a largo plazo es la automatizaci\u00f3n (gran lectura en el NYT)"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u201cGlobalization is clearly responsible for some of the job losses, particularly trade with China during the 2000s, which led to the rapid loss of 2 million to 2.4 million net jobs, according to research by economists including Daron Acemoglu and David Autor of M.I.T.<\/p>\n

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People who work in parts of the country most affected by imports generally have greater unemployment and reduced income for the rest of their lives, Mr. Autor found in a paper published in January. Still, over time, automation has had a far bigger effect than globalization, and would have eventually eliminated those jobs anyway, he said in an interview. \u201cSome of it is globalization, but a lot of it is we require many fewer workers to do the same amount of work,\u201d he said. \u201cWorkers are basically supervisors of machines.\u201d\u00a0When Greg Hayes, the chief executive of United Technologies, agreed to invest $16 million in one of its Carrier factories as part of a Trump deal to keep some jobs in Indiana instead of moving them to Mexico, he said the money would go toward automation.<\/p>\n

\u201cWhat that ultimately means is there will be fewer jobs,\u201d he said on CNBC.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Take the steel industry. It lost 400,000 people, 75 percent of its work force, between 1962 and 2005. But its shipments did not decline, according to a study published in the American Economic Review last year. The reason was a new technology called the minimill. Its effect remained strong even after controlling for management practices; job losses in the Midwest; international trade; and unionization rates, found the authors of the study, Allan Collard-Wexler of Duke and Jan De Loecker of Princeton.\u201d<\/p>\n

The Long-Term Jobs Killer Is Not China. It\u2019s Automation.<\/a><\/p>\n

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My\u00a0summary:<\/p>\n

Globalization + automation + cognification = technological unemployment<\/strong><\/p>\n

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Find out more about my new book <\/b>‘Technology vs Humanity'<\/b><\/a>, read the <\/b>TVH cheat sheet<\/b><\/a>, buy the <\/b>book on Amazon<\/b><\/a> (this link automatically takes you to your local amazon site), or order it\u00a0<\/b>directly from my publisher<\/b><\/a> (all formats;\u00a0bulk orders at a discount)<\/b><\/p>\n

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\"La globalizaci\u00f3n es claramente responsable de algunas de las p\u00e9rdidas de empleo, en particular el comercio con China durante la d\u00e9cada de 2000, que provoc\u00f3 la r\u00e1pida p\u00e9rdida de entre 2 y 2,4 millones de puestos de trabajo netos, seg\u00fan las investigaciones de economistas como Daron Acemoglu y David Autor, del M.I.T.\".<\/p>\n

Las personas que trabajan en las zonas del pa\u00eds m\u00e1s afectadas por las importaciones suelen tener m\u00e1s desempleo y menos ingresos durante el resto de sus vidas, seg\u00fan un art\u00edculo publicado en enero. Sin embargo, con el tiempo, la automatizaci\u00f3n ha tenido un efecto mucho mayor que la globalizaci\u00f3n y, de todos modos, habr\u00eda acabado eliminando esos puestos de trabajo, dijo en una entrevista. \"En parte se debe a la globalizaci\u00f3n, pero en gran medida a que necesitamos muchos menos trabajadores para hacer el mismo trabajo\", explica. \"Los trabajadores son b\u00e1sicamente supervisores de m\u00e1quinas\".<\/p>\n

Cuando Greg Hayes, el director ejecutivo de United Technologies, acord\u00f3 invertir $16 millones en una de sus f\u00e1bricas de Carrier como parte de un acuerdo de Trump para mantener algunos puestos de trabajo en Indiana en lugar de trasladarlos a M\u00e9xico, dijo que el dinero se destinar\u00eda a la automatizaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n

\"Lo que eso significa en \u00faltima instancia es que habr\u00e1 menos puestos de trabajo\", dijo en la CNBC.<\/p>\n

Tomemos como ejemplo la industria sider\u00fargica. Perdi\u00f3 400.000 personas, el 75% de su mano de obra, entre 1962 y 2005. Pero sus env\u00edos no disminuyeron, seg\u00fan un estudio publicado en la revista American Economic Review el a\u00f1o pasado. La raz\u00f3n fue una nueva tecnolog\u00eda llamada \"minimill\". Los autores del estudio, Allan Collard-Wexler, de Duke, y Jan De Loecker, de Princeton, concluyeron que el efecto de la nueva tecnolog\u00eda se mantuvo incluso despu\u00e9s de tener en cuenta las pr\u00e1cticas de gesti\u00f3n, la p\u00e9rdida de empleo en el Medio Oeste, el comercio internacional y los \u00edndices de sindicaci\u00f3n\".<\/p>\n

El asesino del empleo a largo plazo no es China. Es la automatizaci\u00f3n.
https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2016\/12\/21\/upshot\/the-long-term-jobs-killer-is-not-china-its-automation.html<\/a>
v\u00eda Instapaper<\/div>\n

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El resumen de Gerd: <\/p>\n

Globalizaci\u00f3n + automatizaci\u00f3n + cognificaci\u00f3n = desempleo tecnol\u00f3gico<\/p>\n

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