{"id":102727,"date":"2017-01-24T06:15:59","date_gmt":"2017-01-24T06:15:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/gerdtestpress.online\/?guid=f5a8926289835f522e9444de61869075"},"modified":"2017-01-24T06:15:59","modified_gmt":"2017-01-24T06:15:59","slug":"the-coming-tech-backlash-newco-shift","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/es\/2017\/01\/the-coming-tech-backlash-newco-shift\/","title":{"rendered":"El contragolpe tecnol\u00f3gico que se avecina - NewCo Shift"},"content":{"rendered":"

50% of the jobs will be gone in ~20 years. Not from the great sucking sound of jobs to Mexico that can be stopped with a wall. Not from moving offshore to China. From automation that is moving quickly from blue collar manufacturing to white collar information work. Second only to climate change, this is the greatest disruption of our time, and I don\u2019t mean that word in a good way.\u00a0A recent study found 50% of occupations today will be gone by 2020, and a 2013 Oxford study forecasted that 47% of jobs will be automated by 2034. A Ball State study found that only 13% of manufacturing job losses were due to trade, the rest from automation. A McKinsey study suggests 45% of knowledge work activity can be automated.<\/strong><\/p>\n

94% of the new job creation since 2005 is in the gig economy. These aren\u2019t stable jobs with benefits on a career path. And if you are driving for Uber, your employer\u2019s plan is to automate your job. Amazon has 270k employees, but most are soon-to-be-automated ops and fulfillment. Facebook has 15k employees and a 330B market cap, and Snapchat in August had double their market cap per employee, at $48M per employee. The economic impact of Tech was raising productivity, but productivity and wages have been stagnant in recent years<\/p>\n

The Coming Tech Backlash \u2013 NewCo Shift<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

\n
\n
\n

<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n

<\/div>\n
<\/div>\n
<\/div>\n
<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
\n
\"50% de los empleos habr\u00e1n desaparecido en ~20 a\u00f1os. No por la gran succi\u00f3n de puestos de trabajo a M\u00e9xico que se puede detener con un muro. Ni por la deslocalizaci\u00f3n a China. Sino por la automatizaci\u00f3n, que se est\u00e1 desplazando r\u00e1pidamente de la manufactura de cuello azul al trabajo de informaci\u00f3n de cuello blanco. En segundo lugar despu\u00e9s del cambio clim\u00e1tico, esta es la mayor perturbaci\u00f3n de nuestro tiempo, y no me refiero a esa palabra en el buen sentido.<\/p>\n

Seg\u00fan un estudio reciente, en 2020 habr\u00e1n desaparecido 50% de las ocupaciones actuales, y seg\u00fan un estudio de Oxford de 2013, en 2034 se habr\u00e1n automatizado 47% de los puestos de trabajo. Un estudio de Ball State concluy\u00f3 que solo 13% de las p\u00e9rdidas de empleo en el sector manufacturero se deb\u00edan al comercio, el resto a la automatizaci\u00f3n. Un estudio de McKinsey sugiere que 45% de la actividad laboral del conocimiento pueden automatizarse.<\/p>\n

94% de la nueva creaci\u00f3n de empleo desde 2005 corresponde a la econom\u00eda gig. No se trata de empleos estables con prestaciones en una trayectoria profesional. Y si conduces para Uber, el plan de tu empleador es automatizar tu trabajo. Amazon tiene 270.000 empleados, pero la mayor\u00eda son operarios que pronto ser\u00e1n automatizados. Facebook tiene 15.000 empleados y una capitalizaci\u00f3n burs\u00e1til de 330.000 millones, y Snapchat duplic\u00f3 en agosto su capitalizaci\u00f3n burs\u00e1til por empleado, con $48M por empleado. El impacto econ\u00f3mico de la tecnolog\u00eda fue el aumento de la productividad, pero la productividad y los salarios se han estancado en los \u00faltimos a\u00f1os.\"<\/p>\n

El contragolpe tecnol\u00f3gico que se avecina - NewCo Shift
https:\/\/shift.newco.co\/the-coming-tech-backlash-82b22e0c1198?_hsenc=p2ANqtz-8CQA_66MQSsgwaTWFurXUt46g_9HJpIyQ07srAaTAmer2Gx7f5N41KRjw3LTFfNOZKQ53T9V9teAvSH8bm7H2IqTmMzQCdrP3fcDEZKErSuoUpbpo<\/a>
v\u00eda Instapaper<\/div>\n

<\/div>\n
<\/div>\n
\n
\n

\n <\/p>\n

\n <\/p>\n

\n <\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

<\/div>\n

<\/div>\n
<\/div>\n
\n<\/div>\n
\n<\/div>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":38,"featured_media":102775,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_analytify_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[174,375,1175,1116,1180,12,756,222],"tags":[1194,1195,1196,1197],"class_list":["post-102727","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-artificial-intelligence-2","category-automation","category-basic-income","category-digital-ethics","category-team-human","category-technology","category-technology-versus-humanity","category-work-and-employment","tag-backlash","tag-gig-economy","tag-luddites","tag-newco","masonry-post","generate-columns","tablet-grid-50","mobile-grid-100","grid-parent","grid-33"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102727","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/38"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=102727"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102727\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/102775"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=102727"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=102727"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=102727"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}