{"id":104881,"date":"2017-08-16T09:33:00","date_gmt":"2017-08-16T09:33:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/gerdtestpress.online\/?guid=7d02cfcb93111c9ff3ec5b94e22444c6"},"modified":"2017-08-16T09:33:00","modified_gmt":"2017-08-16T09:33:00","slug":"how-technology-might-get-out-of-control-about-the-nash-equilibriums-demise","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/es\/2017\/08\/how-technology-might-get-out-of-control-about-the-nash-equilibriums-demise\/","title":{"rendered":"C\u00f3mo la tecnolog\u00eda puede descontrolarse (\u00bfsobre la desaparici\u00f3n del equilibrio de Nash?)"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\u201cPeople use laws, social norms and international agreements to reap the benefits of technology while minimizing undesirable things like environmental damage. In aiming to find such rules of behavior, we often take inspiration from what game theorists call a Nash equilibrium, named after the mathematician and economist John Nash. In game theory, a Nash equilibrium is a set of strategies that, once discovered by a set of players, provides a stable fixed point at which no one has an incentive to depart from their current strategy.<\/p>\n

To reach such an equilibrium, the players need to understand the consequences of their own and others' potential actions. During the Cold War, for example, peace among nuclear powers depended on the understanding the any attack would ensure everyone's destruction. Similarly, from local regulations to international law, negotiations can be seen as a gradual exploration of all possible moves to find a stable framework of rules acceptable to everyone, and giving no one an incentive to cheat \u2013 because doing so would leave them worse off.<\/p>\n

But what if technology becomes so complex and starts evolving so rapidly that humans can\u2019t imagine the consequences of some new action? This is the question that a pair of scientists — Dimitri Kusnezov of the National Nuclear Security Administration and Wendell Jones, recently retired from Sandia National Labs — explore in a recent paper. Their unsettling conclusion: The concept of strategic equilibrium as an organizing principle may be nearly obsolete.\u201d<\/p>\n

How Technology Might Get Out of Control
https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/view\/articles\/2017-08-15\/how-technology-might-get-out-of-control<\/a>
via Instapaper<\/div>\n

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\"La gente utiliza leyes, normas sociales y acuerdos internacionales para cosechar los beneficios de la tecnolog\u00eda y minimizar al mismo tiempo cosas indeseables como el da\u00f1o medioambiental. Para encontrar esas reglas de comportamiento, a menudo nos inspiramos en lo que los te\u00f3ricos del juego llaman un equilibrio de Nash, llamado as\u00ed por el matem\u00e1tico y economista John Nash. En la teor\u00eda de juegos, un equilibrio de Nash es un conjunto de estrategias que, una vez descubiertas por un conjunto de jugadores, proporciona un punto fijo estable en el que nadie tiene incentivos para apartarse de su estrategia actual.<\/p>\n

Para alcanzar ese equilibrio, los jugadores deben comprender las consecuencias de sus propias acciones y de las de los dem\u00e1s. Durante la Guerra Fr\u00eda, por ejemplo, la paz entre las potencias nucleares depend\u00eda del entendimiento de que cualquier ataque garantizar\u00eda la destrucci\u00f3n de todos. Del mismo modo, desde las normativas locales hasta el derecho internacional, las negociaciones pueden verse como una exploraci\u00f3n gradual de todas las jugadas posibles para encontrar un marco estable de normas aceptables para todos, y que no ofrezca a nadie un incentivo para hacer trampas, porque hacerlo les dejar\u00eda en peor situaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n

Pero, \u00bfy si la tecnolog\u00eda se vuelve tan compleja y empieza a evolucionar tan r\u00e1pidamente que los humanos no pueden imaginar las consecuencias de alguna acci\u00f3n nueva? Esta es la pregunta que un par de cient\u00edficos -Dimitri Kusnezov, de la Administraci\u00f3n Nacional de Seguridad Nuclear, y Wendell Jones, recientemente jubilado de los Laboratorios Nacionales Sandia- exploran en un reciente art\u00edculo. Su inquietante conclusi\u00f3n: El concepto de equilibrio estrat\u00e9gico como principio organizativo puede estar casi obsoleto\".<\/p>\n

C\u00f3mo la tecnolog\u00eda puede descontrolarse
https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/view\/articles\/2017-08-15\/how-technology-might-get-out-of-control<\/a>
v\u00eda Instapaper<\/div>\n

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