{"id":102727,"date":"2017-01-24T06:15:59","date_gmt":"2017-01-24T06:15:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/gerdtestpress.online\/?guid=f5a8926289835f522e9444de61869075"},"modified":"2017-01-24T06:15:59","modified_gmt":"2017-01-24T06:15:59","slug":"the-coming-tech-backlash-newco-shift","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/pt\/2017\/01\/the-coming-tech-backlash-newco-shift\/","title":{"rendered":"O retrocesso tecnol\u00f3gico que se avizinha - NewCo Shift"},"content":{"rendered":"<blockquote><p>50% of the jobs will be gone in ~20 years. Not from the great sucking sound of jobs to Mexico that can be stopped with a wall. Not from moving offshore to China. From automation that is moving quickly from blue collar manufacturing to white collar information work. Second only to climate change, this is the greatest disruption of our time, and I don\u2019t mean that word in a good way.\u00a0A recent study found 50% of occupations today will be gone by 2020, and a 2013 Oxford study forecasted that 47% of jobs will be automated by 2034. A Ball State study found that only 13% of manufacturing job losses were due to trade, the rest from automation. <strong>A McKinsey study suggests 45% of knowledge work activity can be automated.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>94% of the new job creation since 2005 is in the gig economy. These aren\u2019t stable jobs with benefits on a career path. And if you are driving for Uber, your employer\u2019s plan is to automate your job. Amazon has 270k employees, but most are soon-to-be-automated ops and fulfillment. Facebook has 15k employees and a 330B market cap, and Snapchat in August had double their market cap per employee, at $48M per employee. The economic impact of Tech was raising productivity, but productivity and wages have been stagnant in recent years<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/shift.newco.co\/the-coming-tech-backlash-82b22e0c1198?_hsenc=p2ANqtz-8CQA_66MQSsgwaTWFurXUt46g_9HJpIyQ07srAaTAmer2Gx7f5N41KRjw3LTFfNOZKQ53T9V9teAvSH8bm7H2IqTmMzQCdrP3fcDEZKErSuoUpbpo\" target=\"_blank\">The Coming Tech Backlash \u2013 NewCo Shift<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<div class=\"posthaven-post-body\">\n<div>\n<div id=\"posthaven_gallery[1133459]\" class=\"posthaven-gallery\">\n<p class=\"posthaven-file posthaven-file-image posthaven-file-state-processed\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"posthaven-gallery-image\" src=\"https:\/\/phaven-prod.s3.amazonaws.com\/files\/image_part\/asset\/1829756\/XjXM2OdZ_5Xc6V3nn-97SuZXqMk\/medium_image3.PNG\" \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"posthaven-file posthaven-file-image posthaven-file-state-processed\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"posthaven-gallery-image\" src=\"https:\/\/phaven-prod.s3.amazonaws.com\/files\/image_part\/asset\/1829754\/9MP43qPxBomCjgA0v9LFsH_uVYA\/medium_image2.JPG\" \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"posthaven-file posthaven-file-image posthaven-file-state-processed\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"posthaven-gallery-image\" src=\"https:\/\/phaven-prod.s3.amazonaws.com\/files\/image_part\/asset\/1829753\/w5m_KABcADsYKnlY_6okpnqkO7E\/medium_image1.JPG\" \/><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div>\n<div>\"50% dos empregos desaparecer\u00e3o em cerca de 20 anos. N\u00e3o devido \u00e0 grande suc\u00e7\u00e3o de empregos para o M\u00e9xico, que pode ser travada com um muro. N\u00e3o por causa da deslocaliza\u00e7\u00e3o para a China. \u00c9 a automatiza\u00e7\u00e3o que est\u00e1 a passar rapidamente da ind\u00fastria transformadora de colarinho azul para o trabalho inform\u00e1tico de colarinho branco. A seguir \u00e0s altera\u00e7\u00f5es clim\u00e1ticas, esta \u00e9 a maior perturba\u00e7\u00e3o do nosso tempo, e n\u00e3o digo esta palavra no bom sentido.<\/p>\n<p>Um estudo recente concluiu que 50% das profiss\u00f5es actuais deixar\u00e3o de existir at\u00e9 2020 e um estudo de Oxford de 2013 previu que 47% dos empregos ser\u00e3o automatizados at\u00e9 2034. Um estudo da Ball State concluiu que apenas 13% das perdas de postos de trabalho na ind\u00fastria transformadora se deveram ao com\u00e9rcio, sendo o restante resultado da automatiza\u00e7\u00e3o. Um estudo da McKinsey sugere que 45% da atividade de trabalho do conhecimento pode ser automatizada.<\/p>\n<p>94% da cria\u00e7\u00e3o de novos postos de trabalho desde 2005 \u00e9 na economia gig. N\u00e3o se trata de empregos est\u00e1veis com benef\u00edcios numa carreira. E se estiver a conduzir para a Uber, o plano do seu empregador \u00e9 automatizar o seu trabalho. A Amazon tem 270 mil empregados, mas a maior parte s\u00e3o opera\u00e7\u00f5es e atendimento em breve automatizados. O Facebook tem 15 mil empregados e uma capitaliza\u00e7\u00e3o bolsista de 330 mil milh\u00f5es de euros, e o Snapchat, em agosto, tinha o dobro da sua capitaliza\u00e7\u00e3o bolsista por empregado, com $48M por empregado. O impacto econ\u00f3mico da tecnologia foi o aumento da produtividade, mas a produtividade e os sal\u00e1rios t\u00eam estado estagnados nos \u00faltimos anos\".<\/p>\n<p>O retrocesso tecnol\u00f3gico que se avizinha - NewCo Shift<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/shift.newco.co\/the-coming-tech-backlash-82b22e0c1198?_hsenc=p2ANqtz-8CQA_66MQSsgwaTWFurXUt46g_9HJpIyQ07srAaTAmer2Gx7f5N41KRjw3LTFfNOZKQ53T9V9teAvSH8bm7H2IqTmMzQCdrP3fcDEZKErSuoUpbpo\">https:\/\/shift.newco.co\/the-coming-tech-backlash-82b22e0c1198?_hsenc=p2ANqtz-8CQA_66MQSsgwaTWFurXUt46g_9HJpIyQ07srAaTAmer2Gx7f5N41KRjw3LTFfNOZKQ53T9V9teAvSH8bm7H2IqTmMzQCdrP3fcDEZKErSuoUpbpo<\/a><br \/>via Instapaper<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<p>\n          <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/phaven-prod.s3.amazonaws.com\/files\/image_part\/asset\/1829756\/XjXM2OdZ_5Xc6V3nn-97SuZXqMk\/medium_image3.PNG\"><\/p>\n<p>\n          <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/phaven-prod.s3.amazonaws.com\/files\/image_part\/asset\/1829754\/9MP43qPxBomCjgA0v9LFsH_uVYA\/medium_image2.JPG\"><\/p>\n<p>\n          <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/phaven-prod.s3.amazonaws.com\/files\/image_part\/asset\/1829753\/w5m_KABcADsYKnlY_6okpnqkO7E\/medium_image1.JPG\"><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":38,"featured_media":102775,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_analytify_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[174,375,1175,1116,1180,12,756,222],"tags":[1194,1195,1196,1197],"class_list":["post-102727","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-artificial-intelligence-2","category-automation","category-basic-income","category-digital-ethics","category-team-human","category-technology","category-technology-versus-humanity","category-work-and-employment","tag-backlash","tag-gig-economy","tag-luddites","tag-newco","masonry-post","generate-columns","tablet-grid-50","mobile-grid-100","grid-parent","grid-33"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102727","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/38"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=102727"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102727\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/102775"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=102727"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=102727"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=102727"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}