{"id":125254,"date":"2021-03-08T13:03:51","date_gmt":"2021-03-08T12:03:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/gerdtestpress.online\/?p=125254"},"modified":"2021-03-16T12:00:02","modified_gmt":"2021-03-16T11:00:02","slug":"exponential-change-and-what-i-said-about-the-future-of-the-music-industry-13-years-ago","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/pt\/2021\/03\/exponential-change-and-what-i-said-about-the-future-of-the-music-industry-13-years-ago\/","title":{"rendered":"Mudan\u00e7a exponencial - e o que eu disse sobre O futuro da ind\u00fastria musical h\u00e1 13 anos"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Como muitos de v\u00f3s devem saber, eu era um <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/2015\/03\/download-my-books-for-free-pdf-via-gerdcloud\/\" target=\"_blank\" data-type=\"post\" data-id=\"64594\">m\u00fasica digital \"ativista<\/a> e pioneiro nos prim\u00f3rdios da Internet, de 1995 a cerca de 2005. Eu escrevi <a href=\"https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Gerd-Leonhard\/e\/B007NHBXGI?ref=sr_ntt_srch_lnk_1&qid=1615205200&sr=8-1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">v\u00e1rios livros<\/a> sobre o futuro da ind\u00fastria musical, publicou v\u00e1rios artigos sobre este tema (<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/kinkystar.wordpress.com\/2007\/08\/29\/gerd-leonhard%E2%80%99s-open-letter-to-the-independent-music-industry\/\" target=\"_blank\">aqui<\/a>, <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.slideshare.net\/gleonhard\/the-future-of-the-music-business-creating-a-new-ecosystem-futurist-keynote-speaker-gerd-leonhard\" target=\"_blank\">aqui<\/a> e <a href=\"https:\/\/www.zdnet.com\/article\/music-2-0-the-future-of-the-music-industry\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">aqui<\/a>... para citar apenas alguns), e t\u00eam <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/c\/GerdLeonhard\/search?query=music\" target=\"_blank\">um bom n\u00famero de v\u00eddeos dispon\u00edveis<\/a> no meu canal do Youtube (alguns deles s\u00e3o bastante hilariantes na sua atualidade, na verdade:)  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>No outro dia, um bom amigo enviou-me o PDF em anexo com uma carta aberta \u00e0 ind\u00fastria <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/category\/music-business\/\" target=\"_blank\">sector da m\u00fasica<\/a>, de 2007, penso eu (j\u00e1 n\u00e3o est\u00e1 dispon\u00edvel online, da\u00ed o PDF bastante feio).  Acho que vais gostar:)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-file\"><a href=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/article-futureofmusic.pdf\">p2p.net futureof music gerd 2007<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/article-futureofmusic.pdf\" class=\"wp-block-file__button\" download>Descarregar<\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Fiquei impressionado como o nosso mundo mudou EXPONENCIALMENTE desde ent\u00e3o, e o que temos hoje \u00e9 de facto \"Music Like Water\".  Com 30 passos lineares atravessa-se o corredor, mas 30 passos exponenciais equivalem a uma dist\u00e2ncia de 26x viagens \u00e0 volta do globo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Ler ou descarregar o meu livro de 2009<a href=\"https:\/\/gerdleonhard.typepad.com\/music20\/chapter_overview.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"> 'Music 2.0', de gra\u00e7a, aqui<\/a> (site antigo mas ainda funciona:)<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1680\" height=\"946\" src=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Exponential-Steps_Blue-1680x946.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-125255\" srcset=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Exponential-Steps_Blue-1680x946.png 1680w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Exponential-Steps_Blue-450x253.png 450w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Exponential-Steps_Blue-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Exponential-Steps_Blue-1536x865.png 1536w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Exponential-Steps_Blue-745x420.png 745w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Exponential-Steps_Blue.png 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1680px) 100vw, 1680px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1680\" height=\"946\" src=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Exponential-Cost-Reduction-Trend_Blueexponential--1680x946.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-125534\" srcset=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Exponential-Cost-Reduction-Trend_Blueexponential--1680x946.png 1680w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Exponential-Cost-Reduction-Trend_Blueexponential--450x253.png 450w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Exponential-Cost-Reduction-Trend_Blueexponential--768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Exponential-Cost-Reduction-Trend_Blueexponential--1536x865.png 1536w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Exponential-Cost-Reduction-Trend_Blueexponential--745x420.png 745w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Exponential-Cost-Reduction-Trend_Blueexponential-.png 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1680px) 100vw, 1680px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Alguns excertos interessantes do PDF abaixo <strong>mais uma vez, isto foi em 2007!<\/strong><\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p>p2pnet news \" Blog Archive \" A m\u00fasica indie na nova economia<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sejamos realistas: a maior parte dos \"l\u00edderes\" das grandes editoras discogr\u00e1ficas, bem como alguns independentes, continuam, em geral, a negar o facto de que o seu modelo baseado nas vendas por unidade est\u00e1 completamente estragado e a falhar mais rapidamente do que conseguem imaginar, e muitos ainda esperam que uma solu\u00e7\u00e3o tecnol\u00f3gica m\u00e1gica resolva um problema comercial... J\u00e1 se perderam milhares de milh\u00f5es de euros devido a estrat\u00e9gias erradas, pol\u00edticas ultrapassadas e falta de verdadeira lideran\u00e7a. Perdoem-me, mas est\u00e1 na hora de se organizarem e fazerem o que for preciso, n\u00e3o apenas o que se encaixa confortavelmente no seu cen\u00e1rio atual - este \u00e9 um momento de fazer ou n\u00e3o fazer\"<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Se acha que a \"partilha\" \u00e9 uma grande coisa agora, espere mais 2 anos - ser\u00e1 100 vezes mais r\u00e1pida e estar\u00e1 dispon\u00edvel em todos os dispositivos (n\u00e3o apenas nos computadores). Mais de 3 mil milh\u00f5es de telem\u00f3veis e <strong>Mais de 1 bili\u00e3o de leitores de m\u00fasica ligar-se-\u00e3o entre si sem problemas.<\/strong> O acesso \u00e0 banda larga sem fios e os dispositivos tornar-se-\u00e3o t\u00e3o baratos, super-r\u00e1pidos e omnipresentes que a partilha de conte\u00fados passar\u00e1 a ser a configura\u00e7\u00e3o padr\u00e3o, a velocidades muito elevadas e com qualquer pessoa que esteja por perto. Procurar - Localizar - Selecionar - Trocar. Clique e obtenha.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Como \u00e9 que se pode rentabilizar isto? <strong>Licenciando a participa\u00e7\u00e3o - e as redes e os dispositivos que a permitem.<\/strong> Tem de licenciar a utiliza\u00e7\u00e3o de toda e qualquer m\u00fasica nestas redes e fazer ofertas irresist\u00edveis, irrefut\u00e1veis e convincentes a quem as gere....\"<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Gerd Leonhard Trailer para a Ericsson 2020 Shaping Ideas: M\u00fasica como a \u00e1gua\" width=\"1200\" height=\"675\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/X4Rqh0VFH7w?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><figcaption>M\u00fasica como a \u00e1gua - Ericsson Film<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Ganhar a vida com a m\u00fasica num mundo digital - Orador principal futurista Gerd Leonhard (MIDEM 2012))\" width=\"1200\" height=\"675\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/S3QiJIIIDm8?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><figcaption>MIDEM 2011 - bastante interessante... um verdadeiro flashback <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-amazon wp-block-embed-amazon\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Tecnologia vs. Humanidade: O pr\u00f3ximo choque entre homem e m\u00e1quina\" type=\"text\/html\" width=\"1200\" height=\"550\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen style=\"max-width:100%\" src=\"https:\/\/read.amazon.com\/kp\/card?preview=inline&#038;linkCode=kpd&#038;ref_=k4w_oembed_OY3Jw7lKMLguy4&#038;asin=B07RV389H8&#038;tag=kpembed-20\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Como muitos de v\u00f3s devem saber, eu era um <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/2015\/03\/download-my-books-for-free-pdf-via-gerdcloud\/\" target=\"_blank\" data-type=\"post\" data-id=\"64594\">m\u00fasica digital \"ativista<\/a> e pioneiro nos prim\u00f3rdios da Internet, de 1995 a cerca de 2005. Eu escrevi <a href=\"https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Gerd-Leonhard\/e\/B007NHBXGI?ref=sr_ntt_srch_lnk_1&#038;qid=1615205200&#038;sr=8-1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">v\u00e1rios livros<\/a> sobre o futuro da ind\u00fastria musical, publicou v\u00e1rios artigos sobre este tema (<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/kinkystar.wordpress.com\/2007\/08\/29\/gerd-leonhard%E2%80%99s-open-letter-to-the-independent-music-industry\/\" target=\"_blank\">aqui<\/a>, <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.slideshare.net\/gleonhard\/the-future-of-the-music-business-creating-a-new-ecosystem-futurist-keynote-speaker-gerd-leonhard\" target=\"_blank\">aqui<\/a> e <a href=\"https:\/\/www.zdnet.com\/article\/music-2-0-the-future-of-the-music-industry\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">aqui<\/a>...<\/p>\n<p> ... <a title=\"Mudan\u00e7a exponencial - e o que eu disse sobre O futuro da ind\u00fastria musical h\u00e1 13 anos\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/pt\/2021\/03\/exponential-change-and-what-i-said-about-the-future-of-the-music-industry-13-years-ago\/\" aria-label=\"Ler mais sobre Mudan\u00e7a exponencial - e o que eu disse sobre O futuro da ind\u00fastria musical h\u00e1 13 anos\">Ler mais<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":38,"featured_media":125255,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_analytify_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[707,100,276,29],"tags":[1780,275],"class_list":["post-125254","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-exponential-organisation","category-funny-stuff","category-music-business","category-recommendedreading","tag-digital-music","tag-future-of-music","masonry-post","generate-columns","tablet-grid-50","mobile-grid-100","grid-parent","grid-33"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/125254","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/38"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=125254"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/125254\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":125540,"href":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/125254\/revisions\/125540"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/125255"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=125254"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=125254"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=125254"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}