{"id":126830,"date":"2021-05-28T09:13:57","date_gmt":"2021-05-28T07:13:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/gerdtestpress.online\/?p=126830"},"modified":"2021-05-28T14:37:59","modified_gmt":"2021-05-28T12:37:59","slug":"demasiado-de-algo-bueno-puede-ser-muy-malo-el-futuro-de-la-tecnologia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/pt\/2021\/05\/demasiado-de-algo-bueno-puede-ser-muy-malo-el-futuro-de-la-tecnologia\/","title":{"rendered":"Demasiado de algo bom pode ser muito mau: O futuro da tecnologia"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Por que raz\u00e3o devemos agir agora para garantir que o progresso tecnol\u00f3gico exponencial continue a ser um benef\u00edcio para a humanidade e o planeta<\/strong> Vers\u00e3o ENGLISH <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/2021\/05\/too-much-of-a-good-thing-can-be-a-very-bad-thing-technologys-future\/\" target=\"_blank\">aqui.<\/a> Vers\u00e3o portuguesa <a href=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/2021\/05\/demasiadas-coisas-boas-podem-ser-muito-mas-o-futuro-da-tecnologia-portuguese-too-much\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">aqui<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-gallery columns-2 is-cropped wp-block-gallery-1 is-layout-flex wp-block-gallery-is-layout-flex\"><ul class=\"blocks-gallery-grid\"><li class=\"blocks-gallery-item\"><figure><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1680\" height=\"945\" src=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Weaponisation-Gift-Blue-1680x945.png\" alt=\"\" data-id=\"126717\" data-full-url=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Weaponisation-Gift-Blue.png\" data-link=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/2021\/05\/too-much-of-a-good-thing-can-be-a-very-bad-thing-technologys-future\/gerd-leonhard-futurist-weaponisation-gift-blue-2\/\" class=\"wp-image-126717\" srcset=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Weaponisation-Gift-Blue-1680x945.png 1680w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Weaponisation-Gift-Blue-450x253.png 450w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Weaponisation-Gift-Blue-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Weaponisation-Gift-Blue-1536x864.png 1536w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Weaponisation-Gift-Blue-745x420.png 745w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Weaponisation-Gift-Blue.png 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1680px) 100vw, 1680px\" \/><\/figure><\/li><li class=\"blocks-gallery-item\"><figure><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1680\" height=\"945\" src=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Weaponisation-Bomb-Red-1680x945.png\" alt=\"\" data-id=\"126716\" data-full-url=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Weaponisation-Bomb-Red.png\" data-link=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/2021\/05\/too-much-of-a-good-thing-can-be-a-very-bad-thing-technologys-future\/gerd-leonhard-futurist-weaponisation-bomb-red\/\" class=\"wp-image-126716\" srcset=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Weaponisation-Bomb-Red-1680x945.png 1680w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Weaponisation-Bomb-Red-450x253.png 450w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Weaponisation-Bomb-Red-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Weaponisation-Bomb-Red-1536x864.png 1536w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Weaponisation-Bomb-Red-745x420.png 745w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Weaponisation-Bomb-Red.png 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1680px) 100vw, 1680px\" \/><\/figure><\/li><\/ul><figcaption class=\"blocks-gallery-caption\"><br>Gerd Leonhard, futurista e humanista. Z\u00farich, Suiza 17 de mayo de 2021. Publicado tamb\u00e9m em&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/cognitiveworld.com\/articles\/2021\/5\/15\/too-much-of-a-good-thing-can-be-a-very-bad-thing-technologys-future\" target=\"_blank\">Mundo Cognitivo<\/a>.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-file\"><a href=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/ES-Demasiado-de-algo-bueno-puede-ser-muy-malo-El-futuro-de-la-tecnologi\u0301a-Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Humanist-Author-Keynote-Speaker.pdf\">Descarregar o PDF: vers\u00e3o ES<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/ES-Demasiado-de-algo-bueno-puede-ser-muy-malo-El-futuro-de-la-tecnologi\u0301a-Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Humanist-Author-Keynote-Speaker.pdf\" class=\"wp-block-file__button\" download>Descarregar<\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-file\"><a href=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/ES-Demasiadas-coisas-boas-podem-ser-muito-ma\u0301s-o-futuro-da-tecnologia-Portuguese-version-of-\u2018Too-much-of-a-good-thing-Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Humanist-Author-Keynote-Speaker.pdf\">Descarregar o PDF: vers\u00e3o PT<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/ES-Demasiadas-coisas-boas-podem-ser-muito-ma\u0301s-o-futuro-da-tecnologia-Portuguese-version-of-\u2018Too-much-of-a-good-thing-Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Humanist-Author-Keynote-Speaker.pdf\" class=\"wp-block-file__button\" download>Descarregar<\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-file\"><a href=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/Too-much-of-a-good-thing-can-be-a-very-bad-thing-Technologys-Future-Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist.pdf\">Descarregar o PDF : vers\u00e3o EN<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/Too-much-of-a-good-thing-can-be-a-very-bad-thing-Technologys-Future-Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist.pdf\" class=\"wp-block-file__button\" download>Descarregar<\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>N\u00e3o h\u00e1 d\u00favida de que a tecnologia est\u00e1 a ser bem utilizada connosco. Os sistemas de IA s\u00e3o agora capazes de detetar algumas formas de cancro da pele com maior precis\u00e3o do que os m\u00e9dicos humanos. Os rob\u00f4s realizam exames de ultrassom e cirurgia, \u00e0s vezes com pouca ou nenhuma interven\u00e7\u00e3o humana. Os pilotos autom\u00e1ticos pilotam e aterram avi\u00f5es nas condi\u00e7\u00f5es mais adversas e em breve poder\u00e3o dirigir t\u00e1xis a\u00e9reos pessoais. Os sensores recopilam dados em direto da maquinaria e dos seus \"gemelos digitais\" para prever as pr\u00f3ximas quedas ou avisar de repara\u00e7\u00f5es cruciais. Os <a href=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/2019\/07\/the-9-game-changers-as-used-in-many-of-my-recent-keynotes-data-cloud-ai-ia-iot-quantum-blockchain-3d-printing-and-material-sciences-genetic-engineering\/\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/2019\/07\/the-9-game-changers-as-used-in-many-of-my-recent-keynotes-data-cloud-ai-ia-iot-quantum-blockchain-3d-printing-and-material-sciences-genetic-engineering\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">impressoras 3D<\/a> s\u00e3o capazes de escovar pe\u00e7as de reposi\u00e7\u00e3o, melhorando as op\u00e7\u00f5es de manuten\u00e7\u00e3o em locais remotos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sin embargo, a medida que la tecnolog\u00eda y <a href=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/category\/artificial-intelligence-2\/\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/category\/artificial-intelligence-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">os sistemas de IA<\/a>Se, por outro lado, o aumento da produtividade do sector da energia, em particular, se tornar mais potente, o lado negativo da acelera\u00e7\u00e3o exponencial do progresso tecnol\u00f3gico tamb\u00e9m est\u00e1 a desaparecer. <a href=\"https:\/\/web.mit.edu\/allanmc\/www\/mcluhan.mediummessage.pdf\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/web.mit.edu\/allanmc\/www\/mcluhan.mediummessage.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Seguindo o Marshall McLuhan<\/a> (\u00a1hace 57 a\u00f1os!), cada vez que ampliamos nossas capacidades, tamb\u00e9m amputamos outras. Hoy en d\u00eda, las redes sociales prometen \"ampliarnos\" al permitirnos a todos compartir nuestros pensamientos en l\u00ednea, pero tambi\u00e9n nos \"amputan\" al convertirnos en objetivos f\u00e1ciles de rastrear y manipular. Ganhamos em alcance, mas perdemos em privacidade.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>O impacto da mudan\u00e7a exponencial \u00e9 incrivelmente dif\u00edcil de imaginar<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Debemos tener en cuenta que, si bien el progreso tecnol\u00f3gico atual parece a menudo muy impresionante y \u00fatil, en su mayor parte inofensivo y f\u00e1cilmente manejable, seria muito insensato supor que isto seguir\u00e1 sendo assim em um futuro pr\u00f3ximo, j\u00e1 que estamos saltando literalmente hacia arriba na curva exponencial de 4 a 8 a 16 e assim sucessivamente. 30 passos lineares podem levar-me a cruzar a rua, 30 passos exponenciais equivalem a 26 viagens ao redor do mundo. O alcance da magnitude \u00e9 totalmente diferente e o que tiver funcionado antes do ponto de giro pode resultar desastroso mais adiante.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Agora estamos no ponto de despejo de muitas das ci\u00eancias e tecnologias fundamentais do s\u00e9culo XXI, desde a intelig\u00eancia artificial e a aprendizagem profunda at\u00e9 \u00e0 edi\u00e7\u00e3o do genoma humano, passando pela geoingenieria, a longevidade e a melhoria humana: todo o nosso marco est\u00e1 prestes a mudar, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.goodreads.com\/author\/quotes\/455.Marshall_McLuhan\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.goodreads.com\/author\/quotes\/455.Marshall_McLuhan\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">N\u00e3o \u00e9 s\u00f3 a imagem!<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-gallery columns-3 is-cropped wp-block-gallery-2 is-layout-flex wp-block-gallery-is-layout-flex\"><ul class=\"blocks-gallery-grid\"><li class=\"blocks-gallery-item\"><figure><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1680\" height=\"946\" src=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Exponential-Cost-Reduction-Trend_Blueexponential--1680x946.png\" alt=\"\" data-id=\"125534\" data-full-url=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Exponential-Cost-Reduction-Trend_Blueexponential-.png\" data-link=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/gerd-leonhard-futurist-exponential-cost-reduction-trend_blueexponential\/\" class=\"wp-image-125534\" srcset=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Exponential-Cost-Reduction-Trend_Blueexponential--1680x946.png 1680w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Exponential-Cost-Reduction-Trend_Blueexponential--450x253.png 450w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Exponential-Cost-Reduction-Trend_Blueexponential--768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Exponential-Cost-Reduction-Trend_Blueexponential--1536x865.png 1536w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Exponential-Cost-Reduction-Trend_Blueexponential--745x420.png 745w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Exponential-Cost-Reduction-Trend_Blueexponential-.png 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1680px) 100vw, 1680px\" \/><\/figure><\/li><li class=\"blocks-gallery-item\"><figure><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1680\" height=\"946\" src=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Wrights-Law-v2_Blueexponential--1680x946.png\" alt=\"\" data-id=\"125707\" data-full-url=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Wrights-Law-v2_Blueexponential-.png\" data-link=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/gerd-leonhard-futurist-wrights-law-v2_blueexponential\/\" class=\"wp-image-125707\" srcset=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Wrights-Law-v2_Blueexponential--1680x946.png 1680w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Wrights-Law-v2_Blueexponential--450x253.png 450w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Wrights-Law-v2_Blueexponential--768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Wrights-Law-v2_Blueexponential--1536x865.png 1536w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Wrights-Law-v2_Blueexponential--745x420.png 745w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Wrights-Law-v2_Blueexponential-.png 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1680px) 100vw, 1680px\" \/><\/figure><\/li><li class=\"blocks-gallery-item\"><figure><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1680\" height=\"946\" src=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Exponential-Steps_Blue-exponential-change-explained-1680x946.png\" alt=\"\" data-id=\"125302\" data-full-url=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Exponential-Steps_Blue-exponential-change-explained.png\" data-link=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/sharing\/media-splash-page\/gerd-leonhard-futurist-exponential-steps_blue-exponential-change-explained\/\" class=\"wp-image-125302\" srcset=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Exponential-Steps_Blue-exponential-change-explained-1680x946.png 1680w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Exponential-Steps_Blue-exponential-change-explained-450x253.png 450w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Exponential-Steps_Blue-exponential-change-explained-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Exponential-Steps_Blue-exponential-change-explained-1536x865.png 1536w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Exponential-Steps_Blue-exponential-change-explained-745x420.png 745w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Exponential-Steps_Blue-exponential-change-explained.png 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1680px) 100vw, 1680px\" \/><\/figure><\/li><li class=\"blocks-gallery-item\"><figure><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1680\" height=\"946\" src=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Linear-Vs-Exponential_Blue-1-1680x946.png\" alt=\"\" data-id=\"124909\" data-full-url=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Linear-Vs-Exponential_Blue-1.png\" data-link=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/gerd-leonhard-futurist-linear-vs-exponential_blue-2\/\" class=\"wp-image-124909\" srcset=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Linear-Vs-Exponential_Blue-1-1680x946.png 1680w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Linear-Vs-Exponential_Blue-1-450x253.png 450w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Linear-Vs-Exponential_Blue-1-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Linear-Vs-Exponential_Blue-1-1536x865.png 1536w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Linear-Vs-Exponential_Blue-1-745x420.png 745w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Linear-Vs-Exponential_Blue-1.png 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1680px) 100vw, 1680px\" \/><\/figure><\/li><li class=\"blocks-gallery-item\"><figure><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1680\" height=\"946\" src=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/exponential-futureGerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Moores-Law-Vs-Kecks-Law_Blue-1680x946.png\" alt=\"\" data-id=\"124337\" data-full-url=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/exponential-futureGerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Moores-Law-Vs-Kecks-Law_Blue.png\" data-link=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/2021\/01\/technology-is-exponential-but-humans-are-linear-kecks-law-and-moores-law-versus-gerds-law\/exponential-futuregerd-leonhard-futurist-moores-law-vs-kecks-law_blue\/\" class=\"wp-image-124337\" srcset=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/exponential-futureGerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Moores-Law-Vs-Kecks-Law_Blue-1680x946.png 1680w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/exponential-futureGerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Moores-Law-Vs-Kecks-Law_Blue-450x253.png 450w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/exponential-futureGerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Moores-Law-Vs-Kecks-Law_Blue-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/exponential-futureGerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Moores-Law-Vs-Kecks-Law_Blue-1536x865.png 1536w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/exponential-futureGerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Moores-Law-Vs-Kecks-Law_Blue-745x420.png 745w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/exponential-futureGerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Moores-Law-Vs-Kecks-Law_Blue.png 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1680px) 100vw, 1680px\" \/><\/figure><\/li><\/ul><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Durante a pr\u00f3xima d\u00e9cada, cada uno de los \u00e1mbitos mencionados anteriormente (lo que a menudo llamo los <a href=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/2020\/02\/get-ready-for-the-10-game-changers-foresight-becomes-mission-critical-as-we-must-navigate-these-changes-increasingly-faster\/\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/2020\/02\/get-ready-for-the-10-game-changers-foresight-becomes-mission-critical-as-we-must-navigate-these-changes-increasingly-faster\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Mudan\u00e7as no jogo<\/a>) tiene m\u00e1s cambios previstos que los que presenciamos en todo el siglo anterior, en total. O <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=PEmyJNTraZg\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=PEmyJNTraZg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">a fic\u00e7\u00e3o cient\u00edfica est\u00e1 a transformar-se cada vez mais numa realidade cient\u00edfica<\/a>, e como os seres humanos s\u00e3o biol\u00f3gicos (<a href=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/2020\/04\/transhumanist-vs-humanist-online-debate\/\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/2020\/04\/transhumanist-vs-humanist-online-debate\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">por ahora<\/a>) e n\u00e3o progridem exponencialmente, a menudo nos cuesta mucho entender hacia d\u00f3nde va todo esto. Lo que hoy puede ser realmente asombroso, m\u00e1gico y \"bueno\" para nosotros, puede convertirse pronto en \"demasiado de algo bueno\", y pasar de ser una herramienta a ser el prop\u00f3sito, de ser un env\u00edo de Dios a ser una m\u00e1quina del juicio final.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Seja para melhorar os humanos, para desenhar quimeras ou para que os rob\u00f4s entrem na guerra: O que ocorrer\u00e1 durante <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=aI3tY5FBPMc\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=aI3tY5FBPMc\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">os pr\u00f3ximos 10 anos<\/a> barrer\u00e1 la mayor\u00eda de nuestras nociones sobre el progreso gradual y pondr\u00e1 patas arriba nuestra visi\u00f3n sobre c\u00f3mo la innovaci\u00f3n tecnol\u00f3gica suele favorecer el bien com\u00fan, incluso sin quererlo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Definir o \"bom futuro<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Na minha opini\u00e3o, o que recentemente ele empezou a chamar de \"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=AQ4PLkRvv9Y\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=AQ4PLkRvv9Y\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">o bom futuro<\/a>\" (es decir, una utop\u00eda o, mejor a\u00fan, una protop\u00eda en contraposici\u00f3n a una distop\u00eda) est\u00e1 ahora en juego, y no podemos permitirnos el lujo de rehuir el duro trabajo de definir coletivamente lo que significa realmente un \"<a href=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/2021\/02\/announcing-my-newest-2021-speaking-topics\/\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/2021\/02\/announcing-my-newest-2021-speaking-topics\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">bom futuro<\/a>\" para nosotros, coletivamente y como especie, y c\u00f3mo podemos darle la mejor forma, juntos. Por muito dif\u00edcil que possa parecer o consenso sobre a quest\u00e3o do \"bem\", o futuro deve ser criado coletivamente ou n\u00e3o existir\u00e1 nenhum, pelo menos nenhum que envolva os seres humanos (veja as analogias com o tratamento nuclear e o TNP mais adiante).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Neste momento, em que vemos algo parecido com uma luz no final do t\u00fanel da pandemia, \u00e9 um bom momento para iniciar um debate honesto e aberto sobre os nossos objectivos comuns e o nosso <em>telos<\/em> (es decir, el prop\u00f3sito), y sobre las pol\u00edticas que necesitaremos para crear ese \"Buen Futuro\". Uma coisa \u00e9 certa: La doctrina del libre mercado nos ha fallado recientemente al menos dos veces (durante la crisis financiera de 2007, y durante la crisis de Covid), y el papel del gobierno como controlador del mercado est\u00e1 destinado a ser mucho m\u00e1s prominente en la pr\u00f3xima d\u00e9cada. No es probable que el Buen Futuro se produzca con un capitalismo a la antigua usanza, y tampoco lo har\u00e1 la tecnolog\u00eda. Se trata m\u00e1s bien de una cuesti\u00f3n de \u00e9tica, de valores, y de las pol\u00edticas que elaboramos a partir de ellos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Chegou o momento de rehumanizar-se<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Agora \u00e9 o momento de pensar e atuar para \"civilizar\" ou \"re<a href=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/2020\/01\/read-my-new-forbes-com-contribution-2020-will-bring-a-new-renaissance-humanity-over-technology\/\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/2020\/01\/read-my-new-forbes-com-contribution-2020-will-bring-a-new-renaissance-humanity-over-technology\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">humanizar<\/a>\" e, s\u00ed, regular (pero no estrangular) a los gigantes globales de la tecnolog\u00eda, porque en esta era de cambios exponenciales avanzados, los sorprendentes avances de hoy pueden convertirse en grandes problemas en un futuro no muy lejano. O que parece estar bem em \"1\" pode deixar de o ser quando chegarmos a \"16\" na curva exponencial (ou seja, depois de 5 duplica\u00e7\u00f5es). Necesitamos urgentemente mirar mucho m\u00e1s all\u00e1, ya que avanzamos hacia el futuro a una velocidad de v\u00e9rtigo. La previsi\u00f3n es ahora simplemente una misi\u00f3n cr\u00edtica y ya no es solamente \"agradable de tener\". O \"futuro\" est\u00e1 a converter-se num tema da agenda di\u00e1ria de todos os l\u00edderes e funcion\u00e1rios p\u00fablicos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Por isso, deixemos de perguntar \"o que nos trar\u00e1 o futuro\", que em breve trar\u00e1, literalmente, quase tudo o que possamos imaginar. Em seu lugar, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=LkpwDXCw_ak\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=LkpwDXCw_ak\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">devemos perguntar-nos: \"Que tipo de futuro QUEREMOS?<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A enorme dificuldade de desenvolver n\u00e3o apenas uma, mas v\u00e1rias vacinas eficazes contra o SARS-CoV-2 \u00e9 um exemplo da nossa acelerada situa\u00e7\u00e3o exponencial. O que antes demorava uma d\u00e9cada e mais, agora demora apenas 12 meses, gra\u00e7as, em grande parte, \u00e0s capacidades globais da computa\u00e7\u00e3o no tubo e na IA. Dentro de uma d\u00e9cada, \u00e9 prov\u00e1vel que este ciclo de desenvolvimento se reduza para seis semanas ou menos.&nbsp; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=x26HlJizHjM\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=x26HlJizHjM\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Imag\u00ednese<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sin embargo, este logro no debe distraer la atenci\u00f3n de la verdad b\u00e1sica de que la tecnolog\u00eda siempre tiene un doble uso; puede ser buena y no tan buena al mismo tiempo: Es \"moralmente neutra hasta que la usamos\" (W. Gibson). \"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/c\/GerdLeonhard\/search\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/c\/GerdLeonhard\/search\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Demasiado de algo bom<\/a>\" descreve muito bem este enigma: algo bastante \u00fatil pode converter-se rapidamente em algo profundamente prejudicial e corrosivo para a sociedade, como se tem manifestado recentemente com as redes sociais, que sofrem uma obsess\u00e3o pela monetiza\u00e7\u00e3o excessiva e uma absoluta falta de responsabilidade.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-gallery columns-3 is-cropped wp-block-gallery-3 is-layout-flex wp-block-gallery-is-layout-flex\"><ul class=\"blocks-gallery-grid\"><li class=\"blocks-gallery-item\"><figure><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1680\" height=\"945\" src=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/toomuchofagoodthingseries.003-1680x945.jpeg\" alt=\"\" data-id=\"113311\" data-full-url=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/toomuchofagoodthingseries.003.jpeg\" data-link=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/toomuchofagoodthingseries-003\/\" class=\"wp-image-113311\" srcset=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/toomuchofagoodthingseries.003-1680x945.jpeg 1680w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/toomuchofagoodthingseries.003-450x253.jpeg 450w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/toomuchofagoodthingseries.003-768x432.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/toomuchofagoodthingseries.003-745x420.jpeg 745w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/toomuchofagoodthingseries.003.jpeg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1680px) 100vw, 1680px\" \/><\/figure><\/li><li class=\"blocks-gallery-item\"><figure><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1680\" height=\"945\" src=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/toomuchofagoodthingseries.004-1680x945.jpeg\" alt=\"\" data-id=\"113310\" data-full-url=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/toomuchofagoodthingseries.004.jpeg\" data-link=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/toomuchofagoodthingseries-004\/\" class=\"wp-image-113310\" srcset=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/toomuchofagoodthingseries.004-1680x945.jpeg 1680w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/toomuchofagoodthingseries.004-450x253.jpeg 450w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/toomuchofagoodthingseries.004-768x432.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/toomuchofagoodthingseries.004-745x420.jpeg 745w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/toomuchofagoodthingseries.004.jpeg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1680px) 100vw, 1680px\" \/><\/figure><\/li><li class=\"blocks-gallery-item\"><figure><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1680\" height=\"945\" src=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/toomuchofagoodthingseries.002-1680x945.jpeg\" alt=\"\" data-id=\"113312\" data-full-url=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/toomuchofagoodthingseries.002.jpeg\" data-link=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/toomuchofagoodthingseries-002\/\" class=\"wp-image-113312\" srcset=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/toomuchofagoodthingseries.002-1680x945.jpeg 1680w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/toomuchofagoodthingseries.002-450x253.jpeg 450w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/toomuchofagoodthingseries.002-768x432.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/toomuchofagoodthingseries.002-745x420.jpeg 745w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/toomuchofagoodthingseries.002.jpeg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1680px) 100vw, 1680px\" \/><\/figure><\/li><li class=\"blocks-gallery-item\"><figure><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1680\" height=\"945\" src=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/toomuchofagoodthingseries.001-1680x945.jpeg\" alt=\"\" data-id=\"113313\" data-full-url=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/toomuchofagoodthingseries.001.jpeg\" data-link=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/toomuchofagoodthingseries-001\/\" class=\"wp-image-113313\" srcset=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/toomuchofagoodthingseries.001-1680x945.jpeg 1680w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/toomuchofagoodthingseries.001-450x253.jpeg 450w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/toomuchofagoodthingseries.001-768x432.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/toomuchofagoodthingseries.001-745x420.jpeg 745w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/toomuchofagoodthingseries.001.jpeg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1680px) 100vw, 1680px\" \/><\/figure><\/li><li class=\"blocks-gallery-item\"><figure><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1568\" height=\"980\" src=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/bay-playing-social-Futurist_Gerd_Leonhard_New-Icons_Red-1568x980.jpg\" alt=\"\" data-id=\"105288\" data-full-url=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/bay-playing-social-Futurist_Gerd_Leonhard_New-Icons_Red.jpg\" data-link=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/bay-playing-social-futurist_gerd_leonhard_new-icons_red\/\" class=\"wp-image-105288\" srcset=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/bay-playing-social-Futurist_Gerd_Leonhard_New-Icons_Red-1568x980.jpg 1568w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/bay-playing-social-Futurist_Gerd_Leonhard_New-Icons_Red-450x281.jpg 450w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/bay-playing-social-Futurist_Gerd_Leonhard_New-Icons_Red-768x480.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1568px) 100vw, 1568px\" \/><\/figure><\/li><li class=\"blocks-gallery-item\"><figure><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1580\" height=\"980\" src=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/China-Social-Tracking-Scoring-Gerd-Leonhard-1580x980.png\" alt=\"\" data-id=\"116467\" data-full-url=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/China-Social-Tracking-Scoring-Gerd-Leonhard.png\" data-link=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/2020\/02\/in-2020-global-techlash-will-move-from-words-to-action-2\/china-social-tracking-scoring-gerd-leonhard\/\" class=\"wp-image-116467\" srcset=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/China-Social-Tracking-Scoring-Gerd-Leonhard-1580x980.png 1580w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/China-Social-Tracking-Scoring-Gerd-Leonhard-450x279.png 450w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/China-Social-Tracking-Scoring-Gerd-Leonhard-768x476.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1580px) 100vw, 1580px\" \/><\/figure><\/li><li class=\"blocks-gallery-item\"><figure><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1680\" height=\"945\" src=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Data-New-Plutonium-Gerd-Leonhard-Feb20-blue-LOGO-1680x945.jpg\" alt=\"\" data-id=\"119522\" data-full-url=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Data-New-Plutonium-Gerd-Leonhard-Feb20-blue-LOGO-scaled.jpg\" data-link=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/media\/resources\/data-new-plutonium-gerd-leonhard-feb20-blue-logo-2\/\" class=\"wp-image-119522\" srcset=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Data-New-Plutonium-Gerd-Leonhard-Feb20-blue-LOGO-1680x945.jpg 1680w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Data-New-Plutonium-Gerd-Leonhard-Feb20-blue-LOGO-450x253.jpg 450w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Data-New-Plutonium-Gerd-Leonhard-Feb20-blue-LOGO-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Data-New-Plutonium-Gerd-Leonhard-Feb20-blue-LOGO-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Data-New-Plutonium-Gerd-Leonhard-Feb20-blue-LOGO-2048x1152.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Data-New-Plutonium-Gerd-Leonhard-Feb20-blue-LOGO-745x420.jpg 745w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1680px) 100vw, 1680px\" \/><\/figure><\/li><\/ul><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Por conseguinte, a Comiss\u00e3o Europeia est\u00e1 a seguir um bom caminho com as suas <a href=\"https:\/\/digital-strategy.ec.europa.eu\/en\/library\/proposal-regulation-laying-down-harmonised-rules-artificial-intelligence\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/digital-strategy.ec.europa.eu\/en\/library\/proposal-regulation-laying-down-harmonised-rules-artificial-intelligence\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">recentes esfor\u00e7os de regula\u00e7\u00e3o da IA e da tecnologia<\/a>. S\u00ed, es complicado, es doloroso y a veces puede ser prepotente - pero de alguna manera, debemos empezar a mirar m\u00e1s all\u00e1 de los factores econ\u00f3micos y el crecimiento a toda costa, y avanzar hacia lo que he estado llamando la cu\u00e1druple l\u00ednea de fondo de \"<a href=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/2021\/04\/here-is-my-elf-policy-paper-future-europe\/\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/2021\/04\/here-is-my-elf-policy-paper-future-europe\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">as pessoas, o planeta, o objetivo e a prosperidade<\/a>\"(ampliando o trabalho realizado por Elkington y otros sobre la triple l\u00ednea de fondo).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\"Demasiado de algo bom\", \u00bfles suena?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>N\u00e3o \u00e9 uma coincid\u00eancia que o uso excessivo e a depend\u00eancia de dispositivos e servi\u00e7os em linha sejam considerados, em muitos casos, uma adic\u00e7\u00e3o. Muchos de nosotros consumimos drogas de alguna forma, desde alcohol y tabaco hasta incluso sustancias controladas. Las sociedades han aprendido a lidiar con esas adicciones mediante leyes, reglamentos y una serie de contratos sociales dise\u00f1ados para limitar su alcance y su impacto negativo. A tecnologia n\u00e3o \u00e9 diferente no sentido de que o uso excessivo ou a sobre-exposi\u00e7\u00e3o tamb\u00e9m arruinam vidas. Muitos estudos documentaram que <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Social_media_and_suicide\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Social_media_and_suicide\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">os utilizadores intensivos das redes sociais devem encabe\u00e7ar as listas de propens\u00e3o para o suic\u00eddio<\/a>, e que o FOMO (far of missing out) pode provocar graves transtornos de ansiedade. Mas s\u00f3 temos de esperar a que tenhamos 5G e aplica\u00e7\u00f5es de realidade virtual omnipresentes e \"gafas inteligentes\".<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"alignright size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Social-Media-Crack-Red.jpg-768x432.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-111415\" width=\"324\" height=\"182\" srcset=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Social-Media-Crack-Red.jpg-768x432.webp 768w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Social-Media-Crack-Red.jpg-450x253.webp 450w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Social-Media-Crack-Red.jpg-1680x945.webp 1680w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Social-Media-Crack-Red.jpg-1536x864.webp 1536w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Social-Media-Crack-Red.jpg-2048x1153.webp 2048w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Social-Media-Crack-Red.jpg-18x10.webp 18w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Social-Media-Crack-Red.jpg-745x420.webp 745w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 324px) 100vw, 324px\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Existe um perigo palp\u00e1vel de que este progresso tecnol\u00f3gico r\u00e1pido e r\u00e1pido n\u00e3o seja governado sabiamente antes de que as suas capacidades em constante expans\u00e3o nos abram, e nos apresentem um futuro de facto que a maioria de n\u00f3s n\u00e3o deseja para os seus filhos. Por isso, precisamos de uma mistura de \"novas normas\" e contratos sociais, responsabilidade demonstrada e presta\u00e7\u00e3o de contas nas empresas e na ind\u00fastria, e salvaguardas reais como a regulamenta\u00e7\u00e3o, as leis e os tratados. A nossa resposta deve ser ampla e flex\u00edvel, justa e democr\u00e1tica, mas decisiva quando se trata de atuar pelo lado da precau\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Imaginemos, por exemplo, o que ser\u00e1 poss\u00edvel em breve quando a maioria de n\u00f3s tivermos os nossos <a href=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/2020\/06\/covid-19-will-accelerate-the-ai-health-care-kai-fu-lee\/\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/2020\/06\/covid-19-will-accelerate-the-ai-health-care-kai-fu-lee\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">dados sanit\u00e1rios armazenados no tubo<\/a> e interactuamos regularmente com assistentes digitais e chatbots para coisas como a ajuda \u00e0 sa\u00fade mental. O agrupamento de conjuntos de dados massivos derivados do genoma humano, do bioma e das observa\u00e7\u00f5es do comportamento (por exemplo, quando se utiliza um dispositivo m\u00f3vel ou um rel\u00f3gio inteligente ou quando se l\u00ea um conjunto de RV) pode proporcionar-nos ferramentas para detetar doen\u00e7as degenerativas e, possivelmente, at\u00e9 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gerdfeed.com\/search\/AI+cancer\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.gerdfeed.com\/search\/AI+cancer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">pr\u00e9-diagnosticar o cancro<\/a>. Sin embargo, las consecuencias de las violaciones de la privacidad en este \u00e1mbito tambi\u00e9n podr\u00edan ser mil veces peores que las trampas actuales, por ejemplo, cuando se capturan il\u00edcitamente los datos de localizaci\u00f3n de las personas. De nuevo, como dice la canci\u00f3n \"<em>A\u00fan no has visto nada<\/em>\u201c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>A regula\u00e7\u00e3o e o objetivo de um consenso global: a analogia nuclear<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Existe um exemplo \u00fatil na forma como trat\u00e1mos a amea\u00e7a da prolifera\u00e7\u00e3o nuclear. Desgra\u00e7adamente, foram necess\u00e1rios duas bombas nucleares e quase 25 anos de trabalho \u00e1rduo antes de que <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Treaty_on_the_Non-Proliferation_of_Nuclear_Weapons\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Treaty_on_the_Non-Proliferation_of_Nuclear_Weapons\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">o TNP mundial entra em vigor em 1970<\/a>. Hoy en d\u00eda, dado lo r\u00e1pido y amplio que avanza la tecnolog\u00eda, ya no podremos permitirnos el lujo de una pista tan larga, y es mucho m\u00e1s dif\u00edcil construir una bomba nuclear que escribir un c\u00f3digo. O, adoptando uma vis\u00e3o mais sombria, \u00bfpodr\u00eda ser que num futuro n\u00e3o muito lejano tengamos que experimentar primero incidentes catastr\u00f3ficos causados por confiar demasiado em \"m\u00e1quinas inteligentes\" n\u00e3o aptas e inseguras, o enfrentarnos a un colapso a\u00fan mayor de los ecosistemas debido a experimentos precipitados de geoingenier\u00eda?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A nivel local, nacional, regional e, inevitavelmente, a escala mundial, tenemos que ponernos de acuerdo sobre los l\u00edmites de lo que podemos acordar, y establecer umbrales realistas de \"m\u00ednimo com\u00fan denominador\" m\u00e1s all\u00e1 de los cuales no se pueden llevar a cabo determinadas aplicaciones tecnol\u00f3gicas s\u00f3lo \"porque podemos\" o porque se pueden obtener enormes beneficios econ\u00f3micos. Um exemplo de consenso alcan\u00e7\u00e1vel \u00e9 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.stopkillerrobots.org\/\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.stopkillerrobots.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">a proibi\u00e7\u00e3o dos sistemas de armas aut\u00f3nomas<\/a> que matan sin supervisi\u00f3n humana, o prohibir el uso del reconocimiento facial y, m\u00e1s recientemente, del reconocimiento de afectos con dudosos fines comerciales. Es otra cuesti\u00f3n que la Comisi\u00f3n de la UE ha empezado a abordar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>A \u00fanica pergunta que realmente importa: Que tipo de mundo queremos deixar aos nossos filhos?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Devemos ter em conta que, nesta pr\u00f3xima d\u00e9cada, n\u00e3o se tratar\u00e1 de que futuro podemos construir, mas sim de <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=LkpwDXCw_ak\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=LkpwDXCw_ak\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><em>qu\u00e9<\/em> futuro<em> queremos<\/em> construir<\/a>. Agora n\u00e3o se trata apenas de um grande engenho ou de uma economia inteligente, mas sim de valores, \u00e9tica e prop\u00f3sito. As limita\u00e7\u00f5es cient\u00edficas e tecnol\u00f3gicas desaparecer\u00e3o a um ritmo acelerado, ao passo que as implica\u00e7\u00f5es \u00e9ticas e sociais se converter\u00e3o no verdadeiro centro de aten\u00e7\u00e3o. Como disse o famoso E.O. Wilson: \"<em>O verdadeiro problema da humanidade \u00e9 o seguinte: temos emo\u00e7\u00f5es paleol\u00edticas; institui\u00e7\u00f5es medievais; e tecnologia divina<\/em>\u201c<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Adem\u00e1s, Winston Churchill proclam\u00f3: \"<em>Sempre se pode contar com que os estadounidenses fa\u00e7am o que \u00e9 correto, depois de terem tentado tudo o resto<\/em>\", y yo suelo adaptar esta cita para que diga \"humanos\" en lugar de estadounidenses. Mas \u00e9 inevit\u00e1vel que haja coisas que n\u00e3o devem ser feitas nunca porque podem ter consequ\u00eancias irrevers\u00edveis e existenciais para os seres humanos e para o nosso planeta, e <a href=\"https:\/\/www.weforum.org\/reports\/the-global-risks-report-2021\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.weforum.org\/reports\/the-global-risks-report-2021\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">esta lista alarga-se a cada dia.<\/a> Empezando pela busca da intelig\u00eancia artificial geral, a geoingenier\u00eda e a edi\u00e7\u00e3o do genoma humano: todas estas tecnologias poderiam <a href=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/2020\/10\/here-is-my-recent-tedx-modena-talk-heaven-or-hell-the-future-is-our-choice\/\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/2020\/10\/here-is-my-recent-tedx-modena-talk-heaven-or-hell-the-future-is-our-choice\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">ser potencialmente o c\u00e9u, ou ser o fogo<\/a>. \u00bfY qui\u00e9n ser\u00e1 el \"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/c\/GerdLeonhard\/search\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/c\/GerdLeonhard\/search\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">controlo da miss\u00e3o<\/a>\" da humanidade?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"alignright size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/2018-Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Gerd-on-Stage-Mission-Control-For-Humanity-Screenshot-02-1680x945.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-110137\" width=\"331\" height=\"186\" srcset=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/2018-Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Gerd-on-Stage-Mission-Control-For-Humanity-Screenshot-02-1680x945.png 1680w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/2018-Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Gerd-on-Stage-Mission-Control-For-Humanity-Screenshot-02-450x253.png 450w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/2018-Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Gerd-on-Stage-Mission-Control-For-Humanity-Screenshot-02-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/2018-Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Gerd-on-Stage-Mission-Control-For-Humanity-Screenshot-02-745x420.png 745w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 331px) 100vw, 331px\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Em particular, o bem documentado enfoque de Silicon Valley de experimentar com quase qualquer coisa e pedir permiss\u00e3o depois (\"Mu\u00e9vete r\u00e1pido y rompe cosas\", <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=V6urvN_4q9I\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=V6urvN_4q9I\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">na cerim\u00f3nia de Zuckerberg antes da OPI<\/a>) nos llevar\u00e1 por un camino muy peligroso. Esta noci\u00f3n puede haber sido tolerable o incluso emocionante al principio de la curva exponencial (donde se ve casi igual que una curva lineal), pero en el futuro este paradigma es decididamente inadecuado para ayudar a conseguir \"el buen futuro\". Pedir perd\u00e3o n\u00e3o funciona quando a tecnologia pode provocar rapidamente amenazas existenciais que podem ir muito mais longe do que o desafio que enfrentamos com as armas nucleares.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Por exemplo, a ideia de converter os seres humanos em \"super-humanos\", perseguindo a longevidade extrema ou <a href=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/2020\/09\/elon-musks-neuralink-is-neuroscience-theater-mit-technology-review\/\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/2020\/09\/elon-musks-neuralink-is-neuroscience-theater-mit-technology-review\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">conectando os nossos c\u00e9rebros \u00e0 Internet<\/a> (s\u00ed, Elon Musk parece estar a clamar por converter-se no principal fornecedor destas ideias). Me temo que corremos o risco de acabar com solu\u00e7\u00f5es a medias introduzidas por corpora\u00e7\u00f5es com \u00e1nimo de lucro mientras el p\u00fablico tiene que recoger los pedazos y arreglar las externalidades, todo en aras del progreso.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Encontramo-nos numa bifurca\u00e7\u00e3o do caminho: O futuro \u00e9 a nossa elei\u00e7\u00e3o, por a\u00e7\u00e3o ou por inatividade<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"alignright size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/Sustainable-capitalism-bulls-v2-Gerd-Leonhard-May-2021-Logo-01people-planet-purpose-profit-sustainable-1680x945.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-126620\" width=\"326\" height=\"183\"\/><figcaption><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=KUPXoZWsjU0&list=PLanVbnXDg2UZvKLx4Z-je3IWItcpv0Atd\" target=\"_blank\">O paradigma operativo para o futuro<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>O tempo \u00e9 essencial. <a href=\"https:\/\/forkintheroadproject.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Tenemos diez a\u00f1os escasos<\/a> para debater, acordar e aplicar novos marcos e normas globais (ou pelo menos territoriais) no que respeita ao governo das tecnologias exponenciais.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Si no logramos ponernos de acuerdo al menos en los m\u00ednimos denominadores comunes (como prohibiciones claras de sistemas de armas aut\u00f3nomas letales, o prohibiciones del uso de la ingenier\u00eda gen\u00e9tica de los seres humanos con fines militares) me preocupa que <a href=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/2019\/05\/the-externalities-of-exponential-technological-progress-are-equal-to-those-caused-by-fossil-fuels-gif\/\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/2019\/05\/the-externalities-of-exponential-technological-progress-are-equal-to-those-caused-by-fossil-fuels-gif\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">as externalidades do crescimento tecnol\u00f3gico desenfrenado e n\u00e3o supervisionado da AI<\/a>A edi\u00e7\u00e3o do genoma humano e a geoingenier\u00eda resultam t\u00e3o prejudiciais como as que se criaram com o crescimento quase irrestrito da economia dos combust\u00edveis f\u00f3sseis. Em vez da mudan\u00e7a clim\u00e1tica, ser\u00e1 a \"mudan\u00e7a humana\" que nos trar\u00e1 retos muito perversos se n\u00e3o aplicarmos um pouco mais de \"<a href=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/2019\/04\/new-podcast-discussing-proaction-versus-precaution-chapter-8-of-technology-vs-humanity-by-futurist-gerd-leonhard\/\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/2019\/04\/new-podcast-discussing-proaction-versus-precaution-chapter-8-of-technology-vs-humanity-by-futurist-gerd-leonhard\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">pensamento preventivo<\/a>\u201c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"alignright size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/04\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Robot-Race-V2-Blue-1680x945.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-112488\" width=\"322\" height=\"181\" srcset=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/04\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Robot-Race-V2-Blue-1680x945.png 1680w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/04\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Robot-Race-V2-Blue-450x253.png 450w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/04\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Robot-Race-V2-Blue-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/04\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Robot-Race-V2-Blue-745x420.png 745w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/04\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-Robot-Race-V2-Blue.png 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 322px) 100vw, 322px\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>No futuro, n\u00e3o se deve permitir que ningu\u00e9m subcontrate as externalidades negativas do seu neg\u00f3cio, seja na energia, na publicidade, nas buscas, nas redes sociais, na computa\u00e7\u00e3o em nuvem, na IoT, na IA ou na realidade virtual.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Quando uma empresa como a Google, da Alphabet, pretende converter todo um bairro de Toronto no seu laborat\u00f3rio de cidade inteligente (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/technology\/2020\/may\/07\/google-sidewalk-labs-toronto-smart-city-abandoned\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/technology\/2020\/may\/07\/google-sidewalk-labs-toronto-smart-city-abandoned\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Laborat\u00f3rio de passeios laterais<\/a>), es la empresa iniciadora -y no la comunidad y la sociedad civil- la que tiene que rendir cuentas de los consiguientes cambios sociales que la conectividad y el seguimiento omnipresentes provocan, tanto buenos como malos. Empresas como a Google devem ter em conta que nesta era exponencial (ou seja, \"mais al\u00e9m do <a href=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/2020\/08\/2021-will-bring-the-great-american-pivoting\/\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/2020\/08\/2021-will-bring-the-great-american-pivoting\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">ponto de viragem<\/a>\") s\u00e3o realmente respons\u00e1veis por aquilo que inventam e por como o fazem. Cada problema tecnol\u00f3gico \u00e9 agora tamb\u00e9m um problema \u00e9tico, e o sucesso na tecnologia j\u00e1 n\u00e3o consiste apenas numa \"grande ci\u00eancia, numa engenhosidade descomunal e em modelos de neg\u00f3cio escal\u00e1veis\" (e talvez nunca o tenha sido).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Em seu lugar, as responsabilidades para abordar os inconvenientes potencialmente graves (e cada vez mais <a href=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/2021\/03\/announcing-the-fork-in-the-road-project-please-join-us\/\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/2021\/03\/announcing-the-fork-in-the-road-project-please-join-us\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">existenciais<\/a>) deben ser incorporadas a cada modelo de negocio, desde el principio, y se deben tener en cuenta todos los posibles efectos secundarios durante todo el proceso de dise\u00f1o del negocio y todas las fases posteriores de despliegue. Temos que descartar a doutrina por defeito de \"<em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.goodreads.com\/quotes\/1169701-food-comes-first-and-then-morality-bertolt-brecht#:~:text=Quote%20by%20bertolt%20brecht%3A%20%E2%80%9CFood,and%20then%20morality%20Bertolt%20brecht%E2%80%9D\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.goodreads.com\/quotes\/1169701-food-comes-first-and-then-morality-bertolt-brecht#:~:text=Quote%20by%20bertolt%20brecht%3A%20%E2%80%9CFood,and%20then%20morality%20Bertolt%20brecht%E2%80%9D\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">primeiro a cena e depois a moral<\/a><\/em>\" de Silicon Valley ou seus equivalentes Chinos. Os enfoques hol\u00edsticos (ou seja, os modelos que beneficiam a sociedade, a ind\u00fastria, a empresa e a humanidade em geral) devem substituir as atitudes de \"<a href=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/2020\/02\/in-2020-global-techlash-will-move-from-words-to-action-2\/\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/2020\/02\/in-2020-global-techlash-will-move-from-words-to-action-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">mover-se rapidamente e fazer coisas<\/a>\", e a l\u00f3gica das partes interessadas deve substituir a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gerdfeed.com\/search\/stakeholder\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.gerdfeed.com\/search\/stakeholder\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">primac\u00eda de los accionistas<\/a> (*vea a Paul Polman, ex-diretor geral da Unilever, hablar sobre esto, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=_xrZ82M-U3c&t=168s\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=_xrZ82M-U3c&t=168s\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">aqui<\/a>)&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"alignright size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/holitsic-circular-Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-6-Future-Principles-All-Together-Only-3-Title-Blue-Part-02-1680x945.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-116401\" width=\"298\" height=\"167\" srcset=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/holitsic-circular-Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-6-Future-Principles-All-Together-Only-3-Title-Blue-Part-02-1680x945.png 1680w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/holitsic-circular-Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-6-Future-Principles-All-Together-Only-3-Title-Blue-Part-02-450x253.png 450w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/holitsic-circular-Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-6-Future-Principles-All-Together-Only-3-Title-Blue-Part-02-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/holitsic-circular-Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-6-Future-Principles-All-Together-Only-3-Title-Blue-Part-02-745x420.png 745w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/holitsic-circular-Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-6-Future-Principles-All-Together-Only-3-Title-Blue-Part-02.png 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 298px) 100vw, 298px\" \/><figcaption>3 de mis 6 principios del futuro<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Nos pr\u00f3ximos cinco anos, creio que vamos ver como surgem novos mercados de valores (como o ainda incipiente <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gerdfeed.com\/search\/long+term+stock+exchange\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.gerdfeed.com\/search\/long+term+stock+exchange\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">LTSE<\/a> de San Francisco) nos quais cotizar\u00e3o as empresas que operam sob a premissa de \"Personas, Planeta, Prop\u00f3sito y Prosperidad\". <a href=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/2021\/04\/here-is-my-elf-policy-paper-future-europe\/\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/2021\/04\/here-is-my-elf-policy-paper-future-europe\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">O EUROPA deve aproveitar esta oportunidade<\/a> e tomar o delantera.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sou otimista ou ut\u00f3pico, mas estou convencido de que hoje podemos definir e dar forma a um \"bom futuro\" para toda a humanidade e para o nosso planeta.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Eis algumas sugest\u00f5es para orientar este debate:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>As quest\u00f5es \u00e9ticas das tecnologias exponenciais devem ser consideradas t\u00e3o importantes como os benef\u00edcios econ\u00f3micos que podem gerar. <\/strong>A tecnologia n\u00e3o \u00e9 a resposta a todos os problemas, e seria mau esperar que a tecnologia \"resolvesse tudo\". Se h\u00e1 algo que aprendi nos meus 20 anos como futurista \u00e9 isto: A tecnologia n\u00e3o vai resolver problemas sociais, culturais ou humanos como a (in)igualdade ou a injusti\u00e7a. Pelo contr\u00e1rio, na maior parte das vezes empeora as coisas porque a tecnologia impulsiona a efici\u00eancia sem ter em conta as suas consequ\u00eancias morais. <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/2018\/03\/i-am-done-with-facebook-would-a-paid-for-non-commercial-platform-be-a-better-solution\/\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/2018\/03\/i-am-done-with-facebook-would-a-paid-for-non-commercial-platform-be-a-better-solution\/\" target=\"_blank\">Facebook <\/a>es el mejor ejemplo de este efecto: un concepto realmente poderoso, ingeniosamente dise\u00f1ado, que funciona incre\u00edblemente bien (tal y como se dise\u00f1\u00f3) y, sin embargo, profundamente corrosivo para nuestra sociedad (vea mis charlas sobre este tema, <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/c\/GerdLeonhard\/search\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/c\/GerdLeonhard\/search\" target=\"_blank\">aqui<\/a>). El consejero delegado de Apple, Tim Cook, da en el clavo cuando dice: \"<em>A tecnologia pode fazer grandes coisas, mas n\u00e3o quer fazer grandes coisas. N\u00e3o quer nada<\/em>\". O \"querer\" \u00e9 o nosso trabalho, e n\u00e3o devemos fugir a essa responsabilidade s\u00f3 porque \u00e9 cansativo ou porque pode ralentizar a monetiza\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/li><li><strong>Os humanos devem permanecer no n\u00facleo (HITL):<\/strong> No futuro previs\u00edvel e at\u00e9 ao momento em que estivermos mucho m\u00e1s avanzados en la comprensi\u00f3n de nosotros mismos (y no s\u00f3lo de nuestros cerebros) y seamos capaces de controlar las tecnolog\u00edas que potencialmente podr\u00edan \"ser como nosotros\" (tambi\u00e9n <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/2018\/09\/new-short-film-on-ia-ai-and-agi-will-the-machines-take-over-or-will-we-simply-become-like-them\/\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/2018\/09\/new-short-film-on-ia-ai-and-agi-will-the-machines-take-over-or-will-we-simply-become-like-them\/\" target=\"_blank\">conocidas como IAG o IAS<\/a>), creo firmemente que debemos mantener a los humanos en el bucle, aunque sea menos eficiente, m\u00e1s lento o m\u00e1s costoso. De lo contrario, podemos estar en el camino hacia la deshumanizaci\u00f3n mucho m\u00e1s r\u00e1pido de lo que pensamos. O <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/2019\/04\/new-podcast-discussing-proaction-versus-precaution-chapter-8-of-technology-vs-humanity-by-futurist-gerd-leonhard\/\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/2019\/04\/new-podcast-discussing-proaction-versus-precaution-chapter-8-of-technology-vs-humanity-by-futurist-gerd-leonhard\/\" target=\"_blank\">pro-acci\u00f3n y la precauci\u00f3n<\/a> devem ser cuidadosamente consideradas e constantemente equilibradas.<\/li><li><strong>Temos de proibir o pensamento a curto prazo<\/strong> e acostumar-nos a ter uma vis\u00e3o tanto exponencial como a longo prazo, respeitando o facto de que <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=97ZhXNYEE68\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=97ZhXNYEE68\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><em>os seres humanos s\u00e3o org\u00e2nicos<\/em><\/a> (es decir, lo contrario de exponencial). Como j\u00e1 foi dito, agora estamos a atravessar esta linha m\u00e1gica em que o ritmo do c\u00e2mbio se dispara: 1-2-3 pode parecer muito com 1-2-4, mas saltar de 4 a 8 a 16 \u00e9 muito diferente de passar de 3 a 4 a 5. Temos de aprender e praticar como viver linearmente e imaginar exponencialmente; uma pierna no presente e outra no futuro.<\/li><li><strong>Precisamos de novos \"tratamentos de n\u00e3o prolifera\u00e7\u00e3o\".<\/strong> A intelig\u00eancia geral artificial (IAG), a geoingenieria ou a edi\u00e7\u00e3o do genoma humano s\u00e3o tanto oportunidades m\u00e1gicas como amea\u00e7as existenciais significativas (tal como a energia nuclear, argumentam alguns), mas provavelmente n\u00e3o teremos <a href=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/2020\/01\/futurist-gerd-leonhards-notes-on-stuart-russells-powerful-new-book-on-ai-human-compatible\/\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/2020\/01\/futurist-gerd-leonhards-notes-on-stuart-russells-powerful-new-book-on-ai-human-compatible\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">o prazer de incursionar no IAG<\/a> e depois recuperar-nos do fracasso. Una \"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=-S8a70KXZlI\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=-S8a70KXZlI\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">explos\u00e3o de intelig\u00eancia<\/a>\" en la IA podr\u00eda ser un acontecimiento irreversible, al igual que las modificaciones del genoma humano en su l\u00ednea germinal. Por lo tanto, necesitaremos normas colectivas, vinculantes y con visi\u00f3n de futuro, empezando por un memorando internacional sobre la IAG.&nbsp;<\/li><li>Falei muito sobre a necessidade de um \"<strong>Conselho de \u00c9tica Digital<\/strong>\" durante los \u00faltimos cinco a\u00f1os, a partir de mi libro de 2016 \"Tecnolog\u00eda vs Humanidad\". Muchos pa\u00edses, estados y ciudades han comenzado a establecer organismos similares \u00faltimamente, como el Consejo Europeo de Inteligencia Artificial de la UE. \u00a1Necesitamos m\u00e1s de estos, a nivel regional, nacional, internacional y mundial!<\/li><\/ol>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"alignright size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-DigitaL-Ethics-Coucil-Logo-1680x945.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-115569\" width=\"346\" height=\"194\" srcset=\"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-DigitaL-Ethics-Coucil-Logo-1680x945.png 1680w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-DigitaL-Ethics-Coucil-Logo-450x253.png 450w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-DigitaL-Ethics-Coucil-Logo-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/Gerd-Leonhard-Futurist-DigitaL-Ethics-Coucil-Logo-745x420.png 745w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 346px) 100vw, 346px\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>As\u00ed que aqu\u00ed estamos, en 2021, ante esta fat\u00eddica y tambi\u00e9n muy esperanzadora bifurcaci\u00f3n del camino. Nos corresponde a todos elegir el camino correto y empezar a construir el \"buen futuro\".<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>N\u00e3o \u00e9 demasiado tarde: \u00a1tengan esperanza, tengan valor y busquen la sabidur\u00eda!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Que tipo de futuro queremos? Qual \u00e9 o seu FUTURO PREFERIDO? Orador futurista Gerd Leonhard *curta\" width=\"1200\" height=\"675\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/LkpwDXCw_ak?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"#Business as usual is dead or dying. Est\u00e1 a chegar um tipo estranho de &quot;Idade de Ouro&quot; #beyondcovid FuturistGerd\" width=\"1200\" height=\"675\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/KUPXoZWsjU0?list=PLanVbnXDg2UZvKLx4Z-je3IWItcpv0Atd\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Nenhum pa\u00eds estaria a salvo de armas totalmente aut\u00f3nomas\" width=\"1200\" height=\"675\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/qiJTq11kqdw?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"O futuro do #Europe: Tecnologia, sociedade e pol\u00edtica. Palestra do futurista Gerd Leonhard #ELF\" width=\"1200\" height=\"675\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/cC-nvWdnNTM?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Demasiado de algo bom pode ser muito mau: O futuro da tecnologia. Por que raz\u00e3o devemos agir agora para garantir que o progresso tecnol\u00f3gico exponencial continue a ser um benef\u00edcio para a humanidade e o planeta <\/p>","protected":false},"author":38,"featured_media":113310,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_analytify_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1760,33,707,1765,1091,1582,1092,92,1479,450,103,1180,756,1753,1731],"tags":[1340],"class_list":["post-126830","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-2021-topics","category-environment-energy","category-exponential-organisation","category-fork-in-the-road","category-futuresagency","category-game-changers","category-gerdleonhard-de","category-google","category-humanity-futures","category-in-spanish","category-sustainability","category-team-human","category-technology-versus-humanity","category-thegoodfuture","category-toomuchofagoodthing","tag-techlash","masonry-post","generate-columns","tablet-grid-50","mobile-grid-100","grid-parent","grid-33"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/126830","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/38"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=126830"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/126830\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":126922,"href":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/126830\/revisions\/126922"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/113310"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=126830"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=126830"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/futuristgerd.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=126830"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}