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O Futuro do Trabalho e dos Empregos, impactado pela IA: O Dilema do Bom o Suficiente

Aqui estão 2 vídeos sobre este tópico, e uma imagem baseada em esta recente reportagem do The Atlantic: Três Formas de Pensar Sobre IA e Empregos: Se a automação tornará os trabalhadores humanos obsoletos depende de mais do que apenas o quão inteligente é a IA. Por Rogé Karma

“According to the MIT economists David Autor and Neil Thompson, the divergence between these two professions (weak bundles or strong bundles) boils down to the interaction of technology and expertise.

For accounting clerks, computers replaced many of their least expert skills; the hours they had spent recording transactions and performing manual calculations could now be reallocated to more complex tasks, such as explaining why a department had blown through its budget and figuring out sources of discrepancies between a company’s bank account and its books. This turned the accounting clerk’s job from a middle-class one into a smaller, more professionalized one.

For inventory clerks, on the other hand, computers replaced their a maioria expert skill set—their encyclopedic knowledge of a warehouse’s physical inventory—leaving them to perform more basic tasks such as scanning items and restocking shelves. This transformed the inventory clerk’s role from a well-paying middle-class profession into a lower-paid job with a far bigger pool of potential workers.

In a recent paper, Autor and Thompson find that this basic pattern has held up across more than 300 occupations over the past four decades. “The story is almost never as simple as: We’re in a race with machines and machines will win,” Autor told me.

“What matters for a given profession is whether technology enhances a worker’s expertise or commodifies that expertise.”




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